Oscar Predictions

Here are my Oscar predictions for its major categories (which, in my opinion, incorporates many). I may edit them and change some of my picks as the awards approach.

Best Picture
-Letters from Iowa Jima
-The Departed
-The Queen
-Dream Girls
-Little Children

Other potential contenders:
-United 93 (very possible for a nomination, may steal it from Little Children)
-Little Miss Sunshine
-Babel (if they can't think of anything else)
-Half Nelson (very unlikely, but, like Little Miss Sunshine, it is an indie favourite)
- Volver (wishful thinking here)
Best Actor
-Peter O'Toole (Venus)
-Ryan Gosling (Half Nelson)
-Forest Whitaker (The Last King of Scotland. Lock and Frontrunner)
-Leonardo Dicaprio (Blood Diamond or The Departed, most likely the latter)
-Ken Watanabe (Letters of Iowa Jima, possible, but unlikely)

Other possible contenders:
-Patrick Wildon-Little Children (very unlikely)
-Will Smith (The pursuit of Happyness. His perfomance has received been called the sole redeeming feature of a rather conventional film)

Best Actress
-Helen Mirren (The Queen. Lock and frontrunner)
-Penelope Cruz (Volver)
-Judi Dench (Notes on a Scandal. Who doesn't like Judi Dench)
-Kate Winslet (Little Children)
-Meryl Streep (The Devil wears Prada. Supposedly quite good in it)

Other contenders
Maggie Gyllenhal (Sherrybaby)
Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal)

Best Supporting Actor
Brad Pitt (Babel. Does not deserve it, but he may be nominated)
Djimon Hounsou (Blood Diamond)
Michael Sheen (The Queen. Don't he deserves it, but may be nominated regardless)
Eddie Murphy (dream girls. Just because I think the Academy is crazy)
Jackie Earle Haley (Little Children)

Other contenders.
Jack Nicholson (The Departed. Very possible)
Mark Walhberg (The Departed)
Ben Affleck (Hollywoodland. Again, the Academy is crazy and occasionally chooses a very undeserving performance. Chances are slim though).
Alan Arkin (Little Miss Sunshine. For some reason, websites have been predicting him and I have no idea why. His role as a drug addicted grandfather was rather caricaturish)
Adam Beach (Flags of our Fathers. Others have predicted him, but I doubt it)

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls. Pretty much a lock now)
Rinko Kikuchi (Babel. Oddly, this one is almost a lock also and deserving too)
Adriana Barraza (Babel. The Academy may choose only one actress to represent Babel, but a double nomination is possible)
Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal)
Shareeka Epps (Half Nelson. This is a longshot/ dark horse nomination, but she could make it)

Other contenders
Catherine O'Hara (For your Consideration, which film pix is bringing to Saint John on Jan 9th. Very possible nomination).
Abigail Breslin (Little Miss Sunshine. Oddly, a few critics and websites have mentioned a possible nomination)
Sharon Stone (Bobby)

Best Director
Martin Scorsese (The Departed. Lock)
Bill Condon (Dreamgirls)
Clint Eastwood (Letters from Iowa Jima)
Stephen Frears (The Queen)
Pedro Almodovar (Volver. He would be the academy's critical choice and he has been nominated before, so do not count him out)

Other contenders
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (Babel. He may be nominated, but I still think Amorres Perros was a much better film.)
Paul Greengrass (United 93)
Robert Altman (Prairie Home Companion. Possibly in order to honour him with an award, although last year he received the lifetime achievement award, so very unlikely)
Ryan Fleck (Half Nelson. Wishful thinking on my part)
Valerie Faris/ J. Dayton (Little Miss Sunshine. Highly doubt it, but others have placed them amongst their predictions).
Other c

Best Foreign Film
Volver (Spain)
The Lives of Others (Germany)
Pan's Labyrinth (Mexico)
Water (Canada)
Curse of the Golden Flower (China)

Other contenders
Indigenes (Algeria)
Reprise (Norway. Unlikely)
Aurora - Bulgaria (doubt it)

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Departed - William Monahan (adapted from Siu Fai Mak's excellent Hong Kong police drama Infernal Affairs)
Little Children (Todd Field, Tom Perreta)
Notes on a Scandal (Patrick Marber, unlikely, but possible)
Dreamgirls (Bill Condon)
Letters from Iowa Jima (Iris Yamashita. Could be considered "adapted")

Other contenders
Flags of our Fathers (William Broyles, Jr., Paul Haggis)
Children of Men



Best Original Screenplay
Little Miss Sunshine (Michael Arndt)
Letters from Iowa Jima (Iris Yamashita. This film will be difficult for the Academy to categorize since it is loosely influenced by the Japanese book "Picture Letters from Commander in Chief," but still could be considered an original screenplay)
Volver (Pedro Almodovar)
The Queen (Peter Morgan)
Babel (Guillermo Arriaga. Possible nomination, but Greengrass may get his slot)

Other contenders
United 93 (Paul Greengrass. Very Possible)
Stranger than Fiction (Zach Helm, very unlikely, but possible)
Half Nelson (wishful thinking)

Best Documentary
An Inconvenient Truth
Deliver us From Evil (Amy Berg)
Jesus Camp
The Ground Truth
Iraq in Fragments

Other contenders
Blindsight (Lucy Walker)

Best Animated film
Cars
Happy Feet
Flushed Away
Over the Hedge
Monster House

Other contenders
A Scanner Darkly (doubt it, but would be interesting).
Paprika (by director Satoshi Kon. No chance in hell, but I wish the Academy had the taste to nominate it. Alas, they don't and never did)

Best Cinematography
Pan's Labyrinth
Children of Men (Emmanuel Lubezki is a favourite, so he will probably be nominated)
Curse of the Golden Flower
Dreamgirls
The Departed (odd choice, but it may just make it for unknown reasons)

Other contenders
Babel (Rodrigo Prieto was a nominee last year for Brokeback Mountain and the cinematograpy in the Tokyo scenes alone are deserving of a nomination)
The Fountain (Very unlikely since the film was a disappointment, but the cinematography was notable)


Best Art Direction
Pan's Labyrinth
The Prestige
Dreamgirls
Marie Antoinette
The Good German (despite dismal reviews, I hear the art direction is fine)

Other contenders
The Fountain (again, mediocre movie, good art direction. This year's Memoirs of a Geisha, except, realistically, it probably won't be nominated for a thing)

Visual effects
The Fountain
Pirates of the Carribean: Dead Man's chest
The Prestige
Superman (I am grasping here)
Pan's Labyrinth (maybe).

Costume design
Marie Antoinette (lock)
Dreamgirls
-
-
-
(will decide these remaining slots later, although costume design usually only has a minimal amount of nominations)

Best Score
Babel-Gustavo Santaolalla (Last year's winner for Brokeback Mountain. Potential nominee for this year)
The Fountain-Clint Mansell (I hope he is nominated considering the film's score was one of its few truly redeeming traits)
The Queen/ The Painted Veil - Alexandre Desplat (will probably get nominated, but for which film?)
The Departed - Howard Shore (I don't think he deserves it, but he may be nominated)
The Good German/Little Children - Thomas Newman
- (undecided)

Other Contenders
The Illusionist -Philipp Glass
Letters from Iowa Jima/ Flags of our Fathers - Clint Eastwood
Nomad - Carlo Siliotto (newcomer nominated for a Golden Globe)

Will update late (changing certain choices while adding remaining slots)

Best films that I have seen this year (in my opinion), Golden Globes, and Oscar predictions

The Golden Globes nominations were recently announced anda have usually been considered as the primary award show by which to predict the Oscars. Although, this year's nominations seem to complicate this once Golden rule as did last year's Golden Globes which did not even nominate Best Picture winner Crash (for good reason, considering it was a mediocre film and will now stand among Around the World in Eighty days as one of the worst films to win Best Picture).

I disagree with a lot of their nominations this year (like every year). Why is Dicaprio nominated twice, but Ryan Gosling for Half Nelson is snubbed (hell, even Will Smith is nominated for the Pursuit of Happyness which looks like a rehash of various other American films in which the protagonist faces adversity in order to succeed and thus achieve the American dream). Why is Bobby, a film that has been mainly getting mixed reviews in Best Picture? Although I liked Babel, I still would not nominate it for Best Picture. Letters of Iowa Jima has been thrown in the foreign language category (despite being a contender for Best Picture). I can understand why it is in this category, but really, even though it is in Japanese, why can't they allow it to compete with other nominees in other awards (for that matter, why are there never "foreign" films nominated in other categories. I can never criticize the Golden Globes and Academy awards enough for their ethnocentrism (even though I know they will never change).

Despite this aside, my criticism does not adequately reflect this year's Golden Globe nominations considering that there are several actors and actresses which are not American or British this year (these include Penelope Cruz in Volver, Adriana Barraza and Rinko Kikuchi for Babel). Writer Guillermo Arriaga and director Alejandro González Iñárritu are both nominated for Babel in the Best Screenplay and Best Director (Almodovar is noticably absent in Director even though some had pegged him to be a possible nominee). In addition, Eastwood is nominated for Best Director for Iowa Jima, so the film is nominated in a category besides foreign film (so, my rant was a little premature).

I am happy that Clint Mansell got a best Score nomination for The Fountain. If there was anything The Fountain should be nominated for, it was its great score. Although I expected it, it is interesting to see Guillermo Del Toro's Pan's Labyrinth nominated in Best Foreign Language Film. I am also thoroughly ecstatic that World Trade Center did not get a token nomination (neither did United 93, but Greengrass' film on 9/11 is supposedly very good as opposed to Stone's horrible mess which I had the displeasure of seeing).

Alas, that is all I have to say about the Golden Globes. If you are interested in knowing more about the fall awards season freakshow which continues on until the Academy awards, you can go to OscarWatch.com and they regularly update their website with new critic awards announcements (I have always enjoyed keeping a distance and watching the pre-Oscar season lunacy. It has always been a great source of unintentional hilarity).


Here is a link to the Golden Globe nominations.

http://www.imdb.com/features/rto/2007/globes

Now, as for what I thought were the best films (which I have seen this year and I can not see everything). Here is my random list (not in a numerical order denoting preference).

Pan's Labyrinth (Mexican fantasy tale. Starts off a little formulaic, but eventually becomes one of the most interesting fantasy films to be released in years)

The Proposition (revisionist Australian western)

The Departed (ah Scorsese, thank you once again)

The Queen (Great for Helen Mirren's performance alone)

Babel (Contains flaws and is not as good as Amorres Perros, but still pretty good)

Brick (a revisionist film noir set in a high school. Was made last year, but
released in theatres this year)

An Inconvenient Truth (yes, a film about an Al Gore powerpoint presentation is good.
It's a paradox, but believe me)

Prairie Home Companion (in honour of the late Robert Altman and for genuinely being a good film).

Little Miss Sunshine (drama/black comedy with a satirical take on the American cult of success and its effects on a suburban family. My friend will crucify me for this choice).

Casino Royale (and this is coming from someone who does not like virtually any James
Bond film, but this one was interesting, primarily because it did not entirely feel
like a rehash of past James Bond films and actually had character development)

The Prestige (convoluted, but fun).

The Wind that Shakes the Barley (not perfect, but still a solid historical film)

I will update later with my Oscar Predictions and I will hopefully include more films to make my list (I seem to have forgotten some which should not be left unsaid).

Half Neslon (Gosling delivers one of the better perfomances of this year and it has oddly become one of my favourite films released this year)

When the Levees Broke: A Requiem in Four acts (a documentary about Hurricane Katrina
and the disastrous aftermath. Although excessively long, Spike Lee did good)

Inside Man (entertaining escapist heist film by Spike Lee. Although I usually do not like most Spike Lee films (i.e Summer of Sam), this has been a rather good year for him).

Trailers, film pix announcement, and preparations for Oscar predictions

Film Pix Announcement

On January 9th, the film pix showing at studio ten will be Christopher Guest's For Your Consideration. A satire on the fall season Oscar buzz frenzy and how it disrupts the cast of a film suddenly caught within it.


Trailers

Although not entirely new, here are some trailers which I have either found interesting or unintentionally amusing (most of the time, they are the latter).

Here is a trailer for Factory Girl which is a film about Edie Sedgwick's encounter with Andy Warhol in the 1960s and her rise to stardom (along with the disillusionment which usually accompanies it). The film features Guy Pearce as Andy Warhol (odd casting choice), Sienna Miller as Edie, and Hayden Christensen as Billy Quinn, a character who is supposedly meant to be Bob Dylan or Dylan-esque, anyway, according to some sources, but isn't (Either Bob Dylan probably didn't want his name used in the film or nobodyy can prove that this illusive real-life character was indeed Bob Dylan).

http://movies.aol.com/movie/factory-girl/25513/trailer

Now, this is a link to the teaser trailer for the Hannibal Lecter prequel (sigh...sequels and prequels...why).I am thoroughly confused as to how Gong Li (Raise the Red Lantern)got involved in this.

http://www.tobis.de/home/site_scripts/filmseite.php?id=101

Here is a full trailer for Zack Snyder's film adaptation of Frank Miller's graphic novel 300 which concerns the Battle of Thermopylae in 480 B.C. Visually interesting, but, apparently, Gerard Butler is unable to modulate his voice. During the entire trailer, he is screaming variations on "We Spartans," "Sparta," and the like to the point of giving me a serious migraine. In addition, I doubt the film is historically accurate, judging by the trailer (although, I don't think this was ever filmmakers' intention). Furthermore, Snyder's historical epic seems to be over-the-top in terms of dramatics. As a result, I am also starting to have doubts as to whether Snyder can adapt Alan Moore's The Watchmen (which he is set to direct).

http://playlist.yahoo.com/makeplaylist.dll?id=1529800&sdm=web&qtw=640&qth=400

Now, this is a trailer for the German film, The Lives of Others, by newcomer Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck, which has raked in several awards at the recent European Film Awards along with Pedro Almodovar's Volver. The trailer is in German (no english subtitles). I place this trailer here regardless because this film has been named by several sources as one of the best films of 2006 (many have named it the best film of 2006. Period). I can't wait to see this film and I have been desperately trying to see it through clandestine means.

http://www.worstpreviews.com/trailer.php?id=501&item=0

I will update later with a list of what I believe to be the best films that have appeared in theatres this year (and that I have had the opportunity of seeing) as well as my predictions concerning what I think the Academy awards will nominate. I will write these predictions not because I regard the Oscars as an adequate judge of the year's best films, but rather in order to guess just how predictable the awards will be this year (as they always are). The Academy Awards will never be an accurate judge on films, given the ethnocentric, sexist, and conservative (this last one is debatable) bias in their choices. So, my predictions will in no way validate the illusions of grandeur with which the Academy regards itself and will, actually, like Guest's For Your Consideration, ridicule the potential choices which I believe they will make.

Random trailers and Film Pix reminder

First, this tuesday (December 5), film pix will be showing The Journals of Knud Rasmussen (2006) at the empire theatres (studio 10). Hopefully, some individuals will be able to go see it. Although, given that university exams are approaching, I doubt that many students will be able to come (excluding me).

Now, on to some trailers.

Here is a trailer for Edgar Wright's new British comedy, Hot Fuzz, (Wright also directed last year's Shaun of the Dead). This parody of the buddy cop films (I never liked that expression) also stars Simon Pegg and Nick Frost.

http://www.iklipz.com/Movies.aspx?MovieID=5a15e5e4-f115-49d4-9c56-43173498b931

In addition, here is the very strange teaser trailer for David Lynch's Inland empire (In fact, it may just be the strangest trailer ever.)which stars Laura Dern, Jeremy Irons, and Justin Theroux.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4hFEDYmMcM

Now, here is a trailer of Black Book, Paul Verhoeven's new film, which unfortunately looks like melodramatic shlock. Then again,this is the same director who made Showgirls, so what could I expect. Anyway, here is a link to where the trailer can be found.

http://www.allocine.co.uk/film/video_gen_cfilm=58127.html

Here is a trailer for Joe Carnahan's new film Smokin' Aces (his last film was the relatively decent Narc). For some reason, I can't even describe the film, nor do I feel compelled to. In short, it is the equivalent of a mindless orgy of violence splattered on a film screen which completely relies on style rather than substance (which can be seen as a good thing depending on what types of films you enjoy.)

http://www.apple.com/trailers/universal/smokinaces/theatrical_large.html

This is a trailer for Karen Moncrief's The Dead Girl which has now been nominated for several independent film spirit awards (including best feature, I believe). I had originally dismissed this film because of Brittany Murphy, but, upon seeing the trailer and knowing more of the film's cast, it now seems interesting. Here is the link which will guide you to the trailer page.

http://movies.aol.com/movie/the-dead-girl/25664/trailer

Finally, here is a trailer for the new indie film featuring Nick Nolte entitled "Off the Black". Enjoy.


http://vids.myspace.com/index.cfm?fuseaction=vids.individual&videoid=1484723815